Reading WEST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WEST free→Reading WEST? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track WEST free→NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it has a capital-friendly approach. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with WEST trading below typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening, as it is priced roughly in line with peers, but recent financials or earnings quality are weakening. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $9.19. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.81 WEST trades at 1× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $8.85 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 0% near-term growth, below our forecast of about 36%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.12x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.15 → $-0.09 (+43.3% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$228.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$575.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,818.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions change interest rates. This affects how much people spend and borrow.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates by 25 basis points.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps interest rates unchanged or lowers them.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for WEST yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Westrock Coffee Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The first quarter 2026 earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as a…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Packaged Foods & Meats.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
WEST Westrock Coffee Co. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 3 of 100 | fair | elevated |
MDLZ Mondelez International | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 44 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
HSY Hershey Company (The) | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 89 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
KHC Kraft Heinz | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | fair | moderate |
TSN Tyson Foods | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | fair | moderate |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=379).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on growing Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA by 29% to 44% over full year 2025 results.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $90.0 million to $100.0 million, aiming for 29% to 44% growth over 2025. Despite the earnings miss in 2026-Q1, the company maintains its growth target, indicating persistent focus but limited substantive delivery so far.
“The Company is reaffirming its 2026 guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $90.0 million to $100.0 million.”
“The Company is updating its 2026 outlook for its Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA, which represents growth of 29% to 44% over our full year 2025 results.”
“The Company is reaffirming its 2025 and 2026 guidance for Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA.”
Enhance operating income through cost management and revenue growth strategies.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income improved to $3.16 million in 2026-Q1 from a loss of $8.75 million in 2025-Q4, showing progress in cost management and revenue growth strategies. This indicates a positive trajectory in operational efficiency.
Why it matters: GDP growth shows how healthy the economy is. It also affects how people spend.
Confirms one read:GDP growth is reported above 2% for Q1 2026.
Confirms the other:GDP growth is reported below 1% for Q1 2026.
Why it matters: Retail sales data can show how consumers are spending. This affects Westrock's sales.
Confirms one read:Retail sales increase by more than 1% month over month.
Confirms the other:Retail sales decline or grow less than 0.5% month over month.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 20, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Westrock Coffee Company (the “Company”) appointed A. Wellford Tabor to the Board, effectively immediately. Additionally, Mr. Tabor was appointed to the Audit & Finance Committee of the Board. Mr. Tabor was appointed to fill the vacancy in the class of directors whose term expires at the 202…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 10, 2026, Westrock Coffee Company (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the S…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 5, 2026, R. Brad Martin and Josie C. Natori informed the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of the Company of their intention to retire from the Board, effectively immediately. Such retirements were not the result of a disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to its operations, policies or practices. The Board and the Company…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, the Company issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The third quarter 2025 earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall i…
“Operating income improved to $3.16 million.”
“Operating income was a loss of $8.75 million.”