Vince Holding Corp (VNCE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-21
$11.76+0.77%
Close 2026-10-21 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-10-21
Research Workspace
Put VNCE beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 55% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskVNCE’s OVO acquisition tests whether a multi-brand platform can extend growth beyond its existing business. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year in Q2 FY2026, with earnings beating estimates. VNCE trades at 6× P/E versus a 15× peer median and its own 6× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving room for execution evidence. A 28% next-quarter miss probability and the recent 21% single-session drop mark specific risks. Peer multiples imply a price about 17% above where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-21. VNCE is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering VNCE (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare VNCE with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VNCE Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Discretionary (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put VNCE next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand multi-brand platform via OVO acquisition
OVO acquisition supports multi-brand platform expansion strategy.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-21. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Deliver second quarter fiscal 2026 results at high end of guidance
Q2 results align with high end of guidance.
Advances: Expand multi-brand platform via OVO acquisition
OVO revenue target supports multi-brand expansion strategy.
Advances: Deliver second quarter fiscal 2026 results at high end of guidance
Earnings call confirms high-end guidance delivery.
Advances: Deliver second quarter fiscal 2026 results at high end of guidance
Q2 results align with high end of guidance.
Stock drop despite positive earnings raises concerns about future performance.
Advances: Deliver second quarter fiscal 2026 results at high end of guidance
Surpassing earnings confirms strong performance against guidance.
Advances: Deliver second quarter fiscal 2026 results at high end of guidance
Earnings beat supports high end of guidance objective.
