Reading USIO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track USIO free→Reading USIO? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track USIO free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind, with USIO trading above typical compared to sector peers. Peer multiples imply a price about 89% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and the performance of sector bellwethers like MSFT, ORCL, and PLTR. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.74. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.77 USIO trades at 1× p/s, below its 5× p/s peer median. Our $17 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 89% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.51x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, Fed net liquidity, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.01 → $-0.01 (+49.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 75% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$174.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$358.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,459.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth slows, it could signal a weakening position in a growing sector.
Confirms:Usio's revenue growth falls below the sector median growth rate.
Disproves:Usio's revenue growth remains above the sector median growth rate.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for USIO yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 13, 2026, Usio, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for its quarter ended March 31, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that Section. This report contains forward-looking statements. Forward-lookin…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Systems Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
USIO Usio Inc | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
MSFT Microsoft | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 84 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
PANW Palo Alto Networks | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 25 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CRWD CrowdStrike | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 34 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FTNT Fortinet | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Usio aims for double-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2026, leveraging operating leverage.
Usio plans to capitalize on its operating leverage to enhance profitability.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 18, 2026, Usio, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for its quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that Section. This report contains forward-looking statements.…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 21, 2026, Usio, Inc. issued an annual letter its shareholders. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of the Section. This report contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 12, 2025, Usio, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for its quarter ended September 30, 2025. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that Section. This report contains forward-looking statements. Forwa…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On August 28, 2025, we entered into an amendment to the Independent Director Agreement executed on May 5, 2017, with Brad Rollins, a member of our Board of Directors. Under the terms of the amendment, Mr. Rollins’s new quarterly compensation shall be two thousand dollars ($2,000.00). On August 28, 2025, we entered into an amendment to the Independe…