Reading TOMZ? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TOMZ free→Reading TOMZ? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TOMZ free→NASDAQIndustrialsPollution & Treatment ControlsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and risk is high. Peer multiples imply a price about 43% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. If TOMZ cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.72. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.72 TOMZ trades at 3× p/s — 1.5× the 2× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $0.49 fair value is medium-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 45% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -34%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.15x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.04. 0 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$335.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$763.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,154.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If the sector's revenue growth speeds up, it could benefit TOMZ's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TOMZ yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. As previously reported, on November 21, 2025, the Nasdaq Stock Market (“Nasdaq”) notified TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) that (i) based upon the Company’s closing bid price for the preceding 30 consecutive business days, the closing bid price for the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”) was below the minimum $1.00 per share requirement for…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Environmental & Facilities Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TOMZ TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 6 of 100 | expensive | high |
WM Waste Management | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 77 of 100 | fair | moderate |
RSG Republic Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 81 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ROL Rollins, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
VLTO Veralto | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 100 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to exceed $12 million in revenue for the fiscal year 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $1.65M, indicating progress towards the $12M target for the fiscal year. However, with only one quarter's data, the trajectory remains uncertain.
“This $3.3 million in orders positions TOMI to potentially exceed $12 million in revenue for the 2026 fiscal year.”
Management is focused on improving gross profit margins as part of operational efficiency.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Gross profit increased from $216,239 in 2025-Q4 to $831,776 in 2026-Q1, showing significant improvement. This indicates progress in operational efficiency, though sustainability needs further quarters' data.
“Gross profit increased to $831,776 in 2026-Q1 from $216,239 in 2025-Q4.”
Management is addressing compliance issues related to Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. TOMI was notified by Nasdaq of non-compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement. Management's actions to address this issue are not detailed, and the trajectory remains unclear.
“Nasdaq notified TOMI of non-compliance with the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement.”
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 16, 2026, TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Mr. Niroshan Srirathan as the Company’s Interim Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately. The Company will provide an update at a later time with respect to its search for a permanent Chief Financial Officer. In connection with his appointment, the Company entered i…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 8, 2026, TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. issued a press release regarding its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. No additional information is included in this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 14, 2026, TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding its preliminary unaudited BIT solution sales for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. No additional information is included in this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit hereto, shall not be d…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 8, 2026, TOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s preliminary revenue expectations for its quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. No additional information is included in this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit hereto, shall…