Reading SUIG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SUIG free→Reading SUIG? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SUIG free→NASDAQFinancialsCredit ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SUIG is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 41% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This is because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.39. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.44, SUIG's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 72× p/s (55.5× the 1× p/s peer median). That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $2.22 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 35% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=3730).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.00x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
7 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=5004).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.06 → $-0.05 (+16.7% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 92.3% above current price.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$353.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,021.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,470.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
As of June 16, 2026, confidence changed to low. Risk fell, indicating a decrease in overall risk perception. The sector backdrop remains a headwind, suggesting challenges in the current market environment. Recent financial performance is weak, reflecting ongoing difficulties in the company's earnings.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This would indicate a significant slowdown in the financial sector. It could impact Sui Group's performance and outlook.
Confirms:Revenue growth in the financial sector drops below 15%.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains above 15%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SUIG yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Sui Group Holdings Limited (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Excha…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2024-Q2, 2024-Q3, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Consumer Finance.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SUIG Sui Group Holdings Ltd | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 1 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
AXP American Express | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
COF Capital One | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 30 of 100 | full | elevated |
SYF Synchrony Financial | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AFRM Affirm Holdings Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 4 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, Sui Group Holdings Limited (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (t…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Board of Directors Composition On January 5, 2026, Joseph A. Geraci, II, Chief Financial Officer and a member of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Sui Group Holdings Limited (the “Company”), notified the Board of his decision to resign from the Board, effective as of January 5, 2026. Mr. Geraci does not serve on any committee of the Board. Th…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 12, 2025, SUI Group Holdings Limited (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (…
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On July 15, 2025, Mill City Ventures III, Ltd. (the “Company”) reported the unexpected passing of Mr. Laurence S. Zipkin on July 9, 2025. At the time of his death, Mr. Zipkin was an independent director of the Company, a member and chairman of its Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee, and a member of its Compensation Committee and Audit Committee. On July 18, 2025, the Company receive…