Capital One (COF)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
$208.74+1.88%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put COF beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Finance is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 45% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
COF’s case rests on a successful Discover integration supporting earnings growth. Recent results improved, though revenue growth data is limited. Third-quarter 2026 earnings beat consensus, with earnings of 6.69. Q2 revenue grew 4.0% year over year after falling 2.0% in Q1. COF trades at 1.1× P/B versus the 1.4× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The specific risk is Discover integration failing to deliver expected synergies. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); our read remains intact; this read is provisional
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. COF is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 24 analysts currently covering COF (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COF in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Finance — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put COF next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Integrate Discover and deliver expected synergies
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $208.74
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $208.74.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Expected Discover loan growth recovery from higher marketing supports integration and growth, though timing is in 2027.
Advances: Integrate Discover and deliver expected synergies
Strong quarter and integration progress support earnings delivery and Discover synergy execution.
Advances: Grow net income and operating income
Improving credit trends and higher NIM support earnings; Q3 slides are reported, not independently detailed here.
Advances: Grow net income and operating income
Q3 earnings beat on lower provisions and expenses supports earnings objectives, though credit trends merit monitoring.
Regulatory scrutiny could impact growth and operations.
Threatens: Integrate Discover acquisition successfully
Customer migration could hinder Discover integration success.
New leadership may enhance growth and operational strategies.
Advances: Integrate Discover acquisition successfully
Positive consumer sentiment supports Discover integration targets.
