Reading RSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RSI free→Reading RSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RSI free→NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGamblingSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 133% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, particularly how bellwethers perform. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $30.11. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $30, RSI's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 6× p/s (6.4× the 1× p/s peer median). That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $6.61 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Analysts: $25–$33. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 356% of near-term growth above a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 70% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2844).
Over the trailing year it converted 4.22x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated robust grew net income 65% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=2427).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, the US dollar.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.15 → $0.15 (+0.0% / 30d). 4 raised, 1 cut, 8 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 91% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$148.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$386.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,947.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Changes in interest rates can impact how much people spend.
Confirms one read:When the FOMC raises interest rates, it shows the economy is strong.
Confirms the other:When the FOMC cuts interest rates, it shows the economy is weak.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RSI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 28, 2026 , Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference in this
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
$25.00 – $33.00 (median $29.00) · 7 analysts · as of 2026-04-29
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Casinos & Gaming.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
LVS Las Vegas Sands | — | fair | moderate |
DKNG DRAFTKINGS INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 14 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
MGM MGM Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 40 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
WYNN Wynn Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 44 of 100 | fair | moderate |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=646).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to achieve revenue between $1.49 billion and $1.54 billion for the full year 2026.
The company aims to reach an Adjusted EBITDA between $230 million and $250 million for 2026.
The company is focused on sustaining positive net income growth over recent quarters.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in consumer spending.
Confirms:Revenue growth reported in Q2 2026 is above 0% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth reported in Q2 2026 remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Higher retail sales mean better consumer spending. This helps Rush Street Interactive.
Confirms:Retail sales growth reported above 1% month over month.
Disproves:Retail sales growth reported below 0% month over month.
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with the selling shareholders named in Exhibit D thereto (the “Selling Shareholders”) and Wells Fargo Securities, LLC and Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named in Exhibit A thereto (the “Underwriters”). Pursuant to the terms of the Underwriting Agreement, the Selling Shareholders agreed to sell an aggregate o…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 17, 2026 , Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference in this
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2025 , Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the Company’s financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is hereby incorporated by reference in this
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (c) Appointment of Certain Officers Effective October 15, 2025 , the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (the “Company”) promoted Kyle Sauers, 54, to President. He will continue serving as Chief Financial Officer, a position to which he was appointed in October 2020, and he will continue to report to Mr. Richard Schwar…