Reading QRHC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track QRHC free→Reading QRHC? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track QRHC free→NASDAQIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed, and it has a capital-unfriendly stance. Peer multiples imply a price about 87% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, as both could significantly impact QRHC's outlook. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.37 QRHC trades at 0× p/s, below its 2× p/s peer median. Our $11 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 87% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -12%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.48x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.06 → $-0.07 (-18.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$258.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$711.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,418.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Changes in interest rates can affect borrowing costs. This can change how much people spend. It can also impact Quest Resource's business.
Confirms one read:FOMC raises interest rates during the June 17 meeting.
Confirms the other:FOMC keeps interest rates unchanged during the June 17 meeting.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for QRHC yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
No upside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
No downside scenarios in the latest snapshot.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. We do not have, and expressly disclaim, any obligation to release publicly any updates or any changes in our expectations or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any forward-looking statement is based. The text included with this Current Report on Form 8-K is available on our website located at h…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Environmental & Facilities Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corp | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 41 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
WM Waste Management | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 75 of 100 | fair | moderate |
RSG Republic Services | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | fair | moderate |
ROL Rollins, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
VLTO Veralto | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 99 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to position the business for a meaningful inflection when conditions normalize.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue decreased from $68.43M in 2025-Q1 to $61.735M in 2026-Q1, and net income remained negative, indicating limited progress towards a meaningful inflection. Management's confidence in positioning the business has been reiterated, but financials show a need for improvement.
“We remain confident that we are taking the right measures to position the business...”
“We are confident in our ability to continue to drive improvements in the business...”
Management is focused on driving business improvements and maintaining momentum into 2026.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. Despite management's focus on driving improvements, revenue decreased from $68.43M in 2025-Q1 to $61.735M in 2026-Q1, and net income remained negative. The trajectory shows limited progress in maintaining momentum.
“We are confident in our ability to continue to drive improvements in the business...”
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it could signal a positive shift in the company's performance.
Confirms:Quest Resource's revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. We do not have, and expressly disclaim, any obligation to release publicly any updates or any changes in our expectations or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any forward-looking statement is based. The text included with this Current Report on Form 8-K is available on our website located at h…
Monroe Warrants Amendment As previously disclosed, on October 19, 2020 the Company granted a warrant to purchase 500,000 shares exercisable immediately and subsequently issued a warrant to purchase 350,000 shares on October 19, 2021 to affiliates of Monroe (the “Holders”) in connection with the financing (the “Warrants”). On March 12, 2026, the Company and the Holders entered into an Amendment to Warrant to Purchase Common Stock to each of the Warrants to extend the expiration date of the War…
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. On March 12, 2026, contemporaneously with the execution and delivery of the TCB Loan Agreement, that certain Loan, Security and Guaranty Agreement, dated as of August 5, 2020, as amended, with PNC Bank, National Association, successor to BBVA USA, as a lender, and as administrative agent, collateral agent, and issuing bank, was terminated in accordance with its terms thereof and all outstanding amounts thereunder were repaid.
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. Certain information with respect to the Monroe Eighth Amendment and TCB Loan Agreement set forth above in