Reading PSQH? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
As of June 15, 2026, PSQH shows weak recent financial performance and volatile management, with a capital-unfriendly stance. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, but compared to sector peers, PSQH trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 54% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $0.49. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $0.49 PSQH trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $1.06 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 54% below a flat-multiple fair value; not enough history to forecast a comparison. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.46x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.13 → $-0.07 (+44.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$395.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$875.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,306.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below its median, it signals a weakening trend in the sector. This could impact PSQ Holdings' performance.
Confirms:Revenue growth for the sector drops below its median value.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains above the median value.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for PSQH yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of Michael Hebert On May 26, 2026, Michael Hebert resigned from his position of Senior Vice President of People of PSQ Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”), effective May 31, 2026. In connection with his resignation, the Company and Mr. Hebert entered into a Severance Agreement and General Release, dated May 26, 2026 (the “Severance Agreement…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
PSQH PSQ Holdings Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 5 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
17 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to achieve a revenue target of at least $32 million for the fiscal year 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue grew from $3.2M in 2024-Q3 to $8.2M in 2026-Q1, showing strong growth. The company has reiterated its $32M revenue target for 2026, indicating a focus on delivering this growth trajectory.
“The Company reiterated its full-year 2026 revenue guidance of greater than or equal to $32.0 million.”
“We delivered 81% revenue growth while reducing operating loss by 23% and net loss by 37%.”
“Net revenue of $18.2 million, compared to $10.1 million for full-year 2024, representing 81% year-over-year growth.”
Management is focused on reducing operating losses as part of its financial improvement strategy.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Operating income improved from -$10.3M in 2024-Q2 to -$6.1M in 2026-Q1, indicating progress in reducing losses. Management's focus on cost reduction is showing limited progress, but the trajectory is positive.
The company is addressing compliance issues related to NYSE listing standards.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company received notice from the NYSE regarding non-compliance with listing standards. There is no financial improvement directly tied to this priority yet, indicating the need for further action to address compliance.
“The Company received notice from the NYSE regarding non-compliance with listing standards.”
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously disclosed, on April 1, 2026, James Rinn provided notice to PSQ Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) of his resignation from the position of Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective April 30, 2026. In connection therewith, on April 29, 2026, Mr. Rinn and the Company entered into a Severance Agreement and General Release (the “Severa…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Resignation of James Rinn as Chief Financial Officer On April 1, 2026, James Rinn provided notice to PSQ Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) of his resignation from the position of Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective April 30, 2026. Mr. Rinn’s resignation was not the result of a disagreement between Mr. Rinn and the Company on any matter r…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
“We delivered 81% revenue growth while reducing operating loss by 23% and net loss by 37%.”
“Loss per share of $(0.80) compared to $(1.80) for 2024.”