NextNav, Inc. (NN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-15
$14.92-3.99%
Close 2026-09-15 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-15
Research Workspace
Put NN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating cash flow improves to at least -$10M next quarter: OCF -$10.0M vs -$10.0M target.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 36% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 16%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 47% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskNN's growth depends on improving operating cash flow to at least -$10 million next quarter. Revenue performance has been weak, and the last quarter missed expectations by 12%. NN trades at a valuation below typical for its sector, indicating that the current price does not reflect its growth potential. If NN continues to miss earnings, the stock could face further pressure, with a 35% probability of missing next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% below where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-15. NN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 3 analysts currently covering NN (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare NN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-15. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put NN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Redeem outstanding public warrants to simplify capital structure
Redemption simplifies capital structure significantly.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-15. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Advance commercialization and regulatory engagement for 3D PNT solutions
Validation of timing accuracy supports PNT solutions.
Advances: Advance commercialization and regulatory engagement for 3D PNT solutions
Potential capital from warrants supports growth objectives.