MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$252.42-3.26%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put MTSI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Gross margin maintains 59.0%-60.0%: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 44% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMTSI’s growth case rests on rising revenue, though sector valuation and Mania raise risk. Revenue growth rose from 22.5% to 35.8% year over year. Q3 FY2026 earnings beat consensus by 34.6%. MTSI trades at 63 times earnings versus 56 times for peers. That near-peer multiple gap offers little room for disappointment. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Gross margin comparison needs review, so the primary pillar remains unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 12% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. MTSI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering MTSI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MTSI in the last 4 months.
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Compare MTSI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put MTSI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Strong Q3 results support revenue growth expectations.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $252.42
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $252.42.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Strong Q3 results and raised guidance support revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Strong results support revenue growth objective.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Growth momentum supports revenue target for next quarter.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Beating revenue estimates supports growth objective.
Long-term agreements enhance revenue stability.