NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Semiconductors is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Gross margin maintains 59.0%-60.0%: gross margin 56.9% vs target 59%.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 71% growth a year, above the roughly 39% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 44% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskMTSI's growth momentum in key markets must continue to justify its current price. Revenue grew 22% year over year, and the last quarter beat expectations. It trades at 67× P/E, above the 49× peer median, indicating high expectations. If MTSI cuts guidance on the next call, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 71% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. MTSI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 15 analysts currently covering MTSI (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for MTSI in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Semiconductors — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Strong results support revenue growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $251.44
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $251.44.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Growth momentum supports revenue target for next quarter.
Advances: Increase revenue to $331M-$339M next quarter
Beating revenue estimates supports growth objective.
Long-term agreements enhance revenue stability.
