NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 54% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 5% on a typical day and fell roughly 75% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskLUNR's growth depends on increasing revenue through strategic contracts, especially with NASA. Recent performance has been weak, and management is unsteady. Revenue growth expectations look modest compared to our view. LUNR trades at 5.4 times price-to-sales, above the peer median of 3.5 times. If LUNR cuts guidance, the stock could drop further; our model shows a 23% miss probability. Peer multiples imply a price about 47% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. LUNR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 9 analysts currently covering LUNR (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LUNR in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Improve operating income
Profitability inflection point supports operating income improvement.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $12.34
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $12.34.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Increase revenue through strategic contracts
New NASA contract aligns with revenue growth objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue through strategic contracts
NASA award supports revenue growth through strategic contracts.
Threatens: Increase revenue through strategic contracts
Concerns about recurring revenue impact LUNR's growth.
Stock crash indicates potential operational or market issues.
Advances: Increase revenue through strategic contracts
Winning contracts directly supports revenue growth objective.
Threatens: Improve operating income
Earnings miss raises concerns about operating income.
Advances: Increase revenue through strategic contracts
Increased price target supports revenue growth objective.
