Reading LPSN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LPSN free→Reading LPSN? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LPSN free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind, which may help the company compared with sector peers, where it is typical. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $2.03. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.29x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-1.77 → $-1.18 (+33.3% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$295.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$780.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $8,893.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops below the median, it signals a worsening trend in the sector.
Confirms:Revenue growth reported below the median for the sector in the next earnings cycle.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LPSN yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. The Merger Agreement On April 21, 2026, LivePerson, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ LivePerson ”), entered into a Merger Agreement (the “ Merger Agreement ”), by and among LivePerson, SoundHound AI, Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ SoundHound ”) and Lightspeed Merger Sub Inc., a Delaware corporation and an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of SoundHound (“ Merger Sub ”), pursuant to which, on the terms and subject to the conditions set forth in the Me…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LPSN LivePerson Inc | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | — | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
18 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management expects total revenue for 2026 to range from $195 million to $207 million.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management expects total revenue for 2026 to range from $195 million to $207 million. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $56.96 million, indicating a decline from $59.29 million in 2025-Q4. The trajectory shows a challenging revenue environment.
“For the full year 2026, we currently expect total revenue to range from $195 million to $207 million.”
Management expects adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to range from $(4) million to $7 million.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management expects adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to range from $(4) million to $7 million. The financials show a net income of -$8.83 million for 2026-Q1, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. The trajectory suggests limited progress towards positive EBITDA.
“For the full year 2026, we currently expect adjusted EBITDA to range from $(4) million to $7 million.”
LivePerson announced a merger agreement with SoundHound, including a notes restructuring agreement.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. LivePerson announced a merger agreement with SoundHound, including a notes restructuring agreement. This strategic move aims to enhance growth prospects, but financials for 2026-Q1 show a net income of -$8.83 million, indicating ongoing financial challenges. The merger's impact on financial performance remains to be seen.
“LivePerson and SoundHound issued a joint press release announcing execution of the Merger Agreement.”
Regulation FD Disclosure. On April 21, 2026, LivePerson and SoundHound issued a joint press release announcing execution of the Merger Agreement and the Notes Restructuring Agreement. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this report furnished pursuant to Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities…
shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information contained herein and in the accompanying exhibit shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Registrant, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, unl…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 14, 2025 and November 7, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of LivePerson, Inc. appointed Ryan L. Vardeman and Nathan “Tripp” Lane, respectively, as directors. On January 22, 2026, the Board appointed (i) Mr. Lane to serve on the Audit Committee and (ii) Mr. Vardeman to serve on the Compensation Committee. SIGNATURE Pursuant to…
shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section or Sections 11 and 12(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. The information contained herein and in the accompanying exhibit shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Registrant, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, unl…