Reading LAW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track LAW free→Reading LAW? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, it is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 52% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile, historically a value-trap pattern. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.47. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.47 LAW trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $7.68 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 55% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.38x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.03 → $-0.06 (-90.1% / 30d). 0 raised, 3 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 67% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$380.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$728.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,902.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it signals a slowdown in the sector.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported below the sector median.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth remains above the sector median.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for LAW yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 6, 2026, CS Disco, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LAW CS Disco, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 63 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on growing software revenue as a key component of overall revenue growth.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Software revenue guidance for 2026 is $146.0 million - $152.5 million, up from $132.6 million - $133.6 million in 2025. The trajectory shows a focus on increasing software revenue, with guidance indicating growth.
“Software revenue in the range of $36.1 million - $37.1 million.”
“Fiscal year 2026: Software revenue in the range of $146.0 million - $152.5 million.”
“Fiscal year 2025: Software revenue in the range of $132.6 million - $133.6 million.”
Target achieving positive adjusted EBITDA by managing costs and improving operational efficiency.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 is $(4.5) million - $(2.5) million, indicating a focus on cost management to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA. The trajectory shows limited progress towards positive EBITDA.
Aim to expand total revenue through strategic initiatives and market growth.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Total revenue guidance for 2026 is $169.25 million - $178.75 million, up from $154.4 million - $156.4 million in 2025. The trajectory indicates a focus on expanding total revenue, with guidance showing growth.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Director Appointment On April 22, 2026, the board of directors (the “Board”) of CS Disco, Inc. (the “Company”) increased the size of the Board from nine to ten directors and, following the recommendation of the Company’s Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee of the Board, appointed Toby Williams to serve as a member of the Board, effective…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 25, 2026, CS Disco, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchang…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 18, 2025, the board of directors (the “Board”) of CS Disco, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Aaron Barfoot as the Company’s Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, principal financial officer and principal accounting officer, effective January 12, 2026 (the “Start Date”). Mr. Barfoot, 49, has served as Chief Financial Officer o…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 5, 2025, CS Disco, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
“Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $(4.5) million - $(2.5) million.”
“Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 is $(4.5) million - $(2.5) million.”
“Fiscal year 2026: Total revenue in the range of $169.25 million - $178.75 million.”
“DISCO is issuing the following outlook for the fiscal year 2026: Total revenue in the range of $167.0 million - $177.0 million.”
“Fiscal year 2025: Total revenue in the range of $154.4 million - $156.4 million.”