Reading KLTR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KLTR free→Reading KLTR? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track KLTR free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and management's recent track record has been fairly steady. The company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is fair, but weakening. If KLTR cuts guidance on the next call, that's a meaningful negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.45. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.48 KLTR trades at 25× p/e, in line with its 21× p/e peer median. Our $1.52 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 5% below a flat-multiple fair value, in line with our forecast of about -2%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.10x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.00 → $-0.01. 0 raised, 0 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$272.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$681.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,757.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could mean trouble for Kaltura. It may show bigger problems in the Information Technology sector.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its median level.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median level.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for KLTR yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 11, 2026, Kaltura, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
KLTR Kaltura, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 51 of 100 | fair | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Kaltura aims to increase its subscription revenue by 1-3% for the full year 2026.
Kaltura aims for adjusted EBITDA between $13.8 million and $15.2 million for the full year 2026.
Kaltura completed the acquisition of PathFactory for $22 million.
Why it matters: What management thinks about losses can affect how investors feel. Good comments may show a change.
Confirms:Management shares a clear plan to fix the loss issue.
Disproves:Management shows doubt or has no plan to fix the loss issue.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if the company is improving its financial situation. Investors will look for signs of recovery from loss-making status.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows smaller losses or a return to making money.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows ongoing losses or no better financial numbers.
Other Events. On April 1, 2026, Kaltura, Inc. (the “Company”) closed its previously announced acquisition of all of the issued and outstanding share capital of PathFactory Holdings ULC (“PathFactory”) from PathFactory’s shareholders, for a purchase price consisting of a total cash consideration of $22,000,000, payable at Closing. Forward-Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 16, 2026, Kaltura, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”)…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 14, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of the Company increased the size of the Board from six to seven directors and appointed Greg Dracon as a Class I director of the Company, effective as of March 16, 2026 (the “Effective Date”). Mr. Dracon, age 54, previously served as a member of the Company’s board of directors from January 2…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously disclosed, on September 30, 2025, Mr. John Doherty, Chief Financial Officer of Kaltura, Inc. (the “ Company ”), notified the Company of his intention to resign from this position, effective December 5, 2025. On December 7, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of the Company appointed Ms. Liron Sharon, the Company’s EVP of FP&A…