Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-29
$316.88+0.21%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put HII beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 13% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 36%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskHII’s case rests on shipbuilding growth, with revenue growth slowing across recent quarters. The FY26 shipbuilding outlook was raised, and Q3 revenue grew 10.8% year over year. Q3 GAAP earnings beat consensus by 24.3%. HII trades at 19× P/E versus the 29× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The specific risk is weak execution quality, with reported profits not well backed by cash. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Management is running behind on a stated commitment. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. HII is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering HII (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for HII in the last 4 months.
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Compare HII with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put HII next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Raise FY26 shipbuilding revenue guidance to $10.2-$10.4B
Raised shipbuilding outlook directly supports FY26 revenue guidance, though the headline provides no details.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $316.88
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $316.88.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
Long-lead CVN 82 materials support backlog visibility and sustained shipbuilding demand.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
Navy's $336 million CVN 82 award adds funded work and supports shipbuilding revenue visibility.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
Advanced welding deployment may improve shipyard productivity and support throughput growth.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
New contracts support increased shipbuilding throughput objective.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
Reported throughput and submarine outperformance directly support the shipbuilding growth objective.
Advances: Increase shipbuilding throughput by ~15% in 2026
Quarterly earnings-call highlights provide operating updates relevant to throughput and contract execution.
Upgrade suggests improved market confidence in margins.
