Reading GSIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GSIT free→Reading GSIT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track GSIT free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been steady, but risk is high, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 54% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. Key factors to watch include guidance changes and sector trends, particularly the performance of major tech companies. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $8.07. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.07 GSIT trades at 12× p/s, below its 12× p/s peer median. Our $14 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 40% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 9%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.20x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$463.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,180.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,307.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth slows, it may hurt GSI's performance. This could indicate broader issues.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below its median level.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above median levels.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for GSIT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
is hereby incorporated by reference herein. Forward-Looking Statements The statements contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K that are not purely historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act, and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, and Rule 3b-6 promulgated thereunder, which statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking st…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
GSIT GSI Technology Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 11 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Maintain gross margin within the range of 54% to 56% for the upcoming quarters.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Gross margin was 52.4% in 2026-Q4, slightly below the guidance range of 54% to 56%. The company has consistently aimed for this margin range, but delivery has been slightly below target.
“with gross margin of approximately 54% to 56%”
“with gross margin of approximately 54% to 56%”
“with gross margin of approximately 54% to 56%”
Maintain revenue within the guidance range of $5.9 million to $6.7 million for the upcoming quarter.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue was $6.319M in 2026-Q4, within the guidance range of $5.9M to $6.7M. The company has consistently provided revenue guidance and has delivered within the expected range.
Why it matters: This report will show if GSI can improve its loss-making status. Investors will look for signs of recovery.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows smaller losses. It may also show profits again.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows bigger losses. There is no improvement in financial numbers.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 26, 2026, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors of GSI Technology, Inc. (the "Company") adopted the Company's 2027 Variable Compensation Plan (the "2027 Plan"), which is similar in structure to previous variable compensation plans for the Company's executive officers. The 2027 Plan is designed to encourage performance and rete…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, GSI Technology, Inc. (the “Corporation”) issued a press release announcing financial results for its fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished with this report. The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 (Exhibit 99.1) of this report and Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 29, 2026, GSI Technology, Inc. (the “Corporation”) issued a press release announcing financial results for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished with this report. The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 (Exhibit 99.1) of this report and Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2025, GSI Technology, Inc. (the “Corporation”) issued a press release announcing financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished with this report. The information contained in Items 2.02 and 9.01 (Exhibit 99.1) of this report and Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or…
“Current expectations for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter are net revenues in a range of $5.7 million to $6.5 million”
“Current expectations for the upcoming fiscal third quarter are net revenues in a range of $6.0 million to $6.8 million”
“Our current expectation for the upcoming first quarter of fiscal 2027 is for net revenues in the range of $5.9 million to $6.7 million”