Flowers Foods (FLO)
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-14
$6.00-1.48%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put FLO beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Packaged Foods & Meats is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA near $495 million in 2026: FY26 EBITDA mid $467M vs $465M target.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 54% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskFLO's growth trajectory hinges on its ability to manage costs and stabilize margins. Recent guidance cuts indicate challenges, with adjusted EBITDA expected near $495 million for 2026. Revenue guidance was lowered to $5.070-$5.142 billion, reflecting weaker demand and rising costs. FLO trades at 6.4× P/E versus a peer median of 12.1×, suggesting the price does not fully reflect its potential. The primary risk is the recent earnings miss, which raises concerns about future performance. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. FLO is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 5 analysts currently covering FLO (as of Sep 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare FLO with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLO Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Packaged Foods & Meats — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put FLO next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Sustain dividend payments and prioritize debt reduction
Reaffirming dividend supports capital allocation objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Strengthen top-line trajectory and portfolio positioning
Declining bread sales may hinder top-line growth.
Threatens: Strengthen top-line trajectory and portfolio positioning
Volume loss indicates potential weakness in top-line growth.
Threatens: Strengthen top-line trajectory and portfolio positioning
Weak Q2 results hinder top-line growth trajectory.
Advances: Sustain dividend payments and prioritize debt reduction
Dividend reset supports sustainability and debt reduction.
Threatens: Strengthen top-line trajectory and portfolio positioning
Consumer shifts and portfolio gaps hinder top-line growth.
Threatens: Maintain adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026
Cuts to sales and earnings guidance undermine growth objectives.
Threatens: Strengthen top-line trajectory and portfolio positioning
Strategic pivots indicate potential difficulties in growth trajectory.
