Reading DUOT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DUOT free→Reading DUOT? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DUOT free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and compared with sector peers, it is below typical. The sector backdrop is a tailwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 35% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This is because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. If DUOT cuts guidance on the next call, that could be negative. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $11.32. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $12 DUOT trades at 7× p/s — 2.5× the 3× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $19 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 35% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 32%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 7.46x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.02 → $-0.02 (+0.0% / 30d). 1 raised, 0 cut, 1 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 2 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$293.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$757.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,697.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth is vital for the company's future. It shows demand for its products.
Confirms one read:Revenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in the next quarter.
Confirms the other:Revenue growth drops below 5% year over year in the next quarter.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for DUOT yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Chief Financial Officer — Leah Brown: Leah Brown departed from her role as Chief Financial Officer.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DUOT Duos Technologies Group Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 11 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 67 of 100 | full | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 57 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on enhancing gross profit margins through operational efficiencies and cost management.
Strive to reach positive operating income through revenue growth and cost control.
Focus on driving revenue growth through strategic initiatives and market expansion.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can change financial plans and reporting. This might affect investor trust.
Confirms one read:The new CFO presents a clear strategy that improves financial metrics in the next quarter.
Confirms the other:The change causes confusion or delays in financial reports.
Why it matters: Higher gross profit margins mean better cost control and pricing. This can lead to more profit.
Confirms:Gross profit margin improves by more than 2% in the next quarter.
Disproves:Gross profit margin declines or stays flat in the next quarter.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensation Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 14, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (the “Company”) elected Douglas Recker as a member of the Board, effective immediately. Mr. Recker was named Chief Executive Officer of the Company effective April 1, 2026. He has been President of the Company since September 2025. Mr. Recker is a seasoned teleco…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 18, 2026, Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial and operating results of the Company for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. The text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Additionally, on May 18, 2026, the Company held an earnings call open to the public (the “Earnings Call”). Mr. Doug Recker, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously disclosed, effective April 1, 2026 Douglas Recker was appointed Chief Executive Officer and President of Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (the “Company”). In connection with Mr. Recker’s appointment, Charles Ferry resigned as Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Ferry remains as a Director of the Company and will continue as Chief Executive Offi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 31, 2026, Duos Technologies Group, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial and operating results of the Company for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. Additionally, on March 31, 2026, the Company held an earnings call open to the public (the “Earnings Call”). Mr. Doug Recker, the Company’s P…