Reading DSP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DSP free→Reading DSP? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track DSP free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, while risk is elevated. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, DSP is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak or earnings quality is fragile, historically a value-trap pattern. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $11.37. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $11 DSP trades at 22× p/e, in line with its 21× p/e peer median. Our $24 fair value reflects that, low confidence. Analysts: $14–$16. Not investment advice.
(median $16.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-05-12
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 53% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 16%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 6.60x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated robust grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.13 → $0.12 (-10.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$235.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$556.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,496.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Viant can improve its loss-making status. This is key for investor confidence.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows a way to make more money or lose less.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows ongoing losses. There is no clear plan to recover.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for DSP yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
DSP Viant Technology, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 43 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management expects revenue in the range of $98.5 million to $101.5 million for Q2 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $88.5 million, below the guidance range of $83.0 million to $86.0 million. The Q2 2026 guidance suggests an increase, but delivery remains to be seen.
“For the second quarter 2026, the Company expects: Revenue in the range of $98.5 million to $101.5 million.”
“For the first quarter 2026, the Company expects: Revenue in the range of $83.0 million to $86.0 million.”
Management expects adjusted EBITDA in the range of $13.0 million to $14.0 million for Q2 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA for 2026-Q1 was guided between $8.5 million and $9.5 million, with the Q2 2026 guidance indicating an expected increase. The actual delivery will confirm if this trajectory holds.
“For the second quarter 2026, the Company expects: Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $13.0 million to $14.0 million.”
The company completed the acquisition of TVision Insights Inc., integrating it as a wholly owned subsidiary.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. The acquisition of TVision Insights Inc. was completed, potentially expanding the company's capabilities and market reach. Financial impact yet to be reflected in revenue or income figures.
“The Company entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger with TVision Insights Inc., completing the acquisition.”
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals a potential slowdown in the sector. This could hurt Viant's performance.
Confirms:Revenue growth falls below the median for the sector.
Disproves:Revenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities. The disclosure set forth below in
Other Events. On April 14, 2026, the Company entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “Agreement”) with TII Merger Sub Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (“Merger Sub”), TVision Insights Inc. (“Target”) and Shareholder Representative Services LLC, as representative of the securityholders of Target. Pursuant to the terms of the Agreement, Merger Sub will merge with and into Target, with Target thereafter continuing as a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company (the “Merger”)…
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as otherwise expressly stated in such filing.
“Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $8.5 million to $9.5 million.”