Digimarc Corp. (DMRC)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-16
$6.68-0.30%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-16
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Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Manage restructuring due to customer project terminations: Revenue: $7.39M.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 70% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskDMRC’s cost management is the clearest support, but its revenue engine is contracting. Revenue fell 7.8% year over year in Q2 FY2026, with non-GAAP EPS at -0.08. The desk lacks valuation multiples and a priced-in assessment, so market expectations cannot be anchored here. Customer project terminations broke the primary pillar, with restructuring revenue at $7.39M. Our model puts next-quarter miss probability near 58%. The thesis has broken; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. DMRC is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 2 analysts currently covering DMRC (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put DMRC next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain disciplined cost management and improve non-GAAP operating expenses
Funding supports cost management and operational improvements.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Manage restructuring due to customer project terminations
Execution gap impacts restructuring management efforts.
Advances: Manage restructuring due to customer project terminations
Significant growth in Secure Gift Card pipeline supports restructuring efforts.
Advances: Leadership transition with new CEO appointment
New CEO's focus aligns with restructuring needs.
Threatens: Manage restructuring due to customer project terminations
Earnings beat but share decline indicates ongoing issues.
Advances: Leadership transition with new CEO appointment
New CEO appointment aligns with leadership transition objective.
Threatens: Manage restructuring due to customer project terminations
Disclosures indicate potential setbacks in restructuring efforts.
Analyst target increase supports positive outlook on ARR.