Reading CXM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CXM free→Reading CXM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CXM free→NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, while earnings quality is robust, cash backs up reported profits. Management's recent track record has been steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is elevated, but the sector backdrop is a tailwind, with performance compared to sector peers being typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 43% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $5.32. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $5.32 CXM trades at 11× p/e, below its 21× p/e peer median. Our $9.68 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 45% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 5.09x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated robust grew net income 69% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=2129).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.12 → $0.10 (-14.4% / 30d). 0 raised, 7 cut, 9 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 33% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$145.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$460.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $4,824.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings will show how well Sprinklr is performing in a decelerating growth sector. This could impact investor sentiment.
Confirms one read:Earnings report shows revenue growth above 10% year over year.
Confirms the other:Earnings report shows revenue growth below 5% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CXM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On June 3, 2026, Sprinklr, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, its financial results for the first quarter ended April 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Excha…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CXM Sprinklr, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 71 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 85 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
3 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on increasing total and subscription revenue to drive overall growth.
Enhance operating income through cost management and efficiency improvements.
Enhance liquidity by boosting cash flow from operating activities.
Why it matters: This guidance shows how well Sprinklr is managing its growth and customer renewals. Meeting this range would indicate strong demand.
Confirms:Guidance for Q2 subscription revenue falls within the range of $193.5M to $194.5M.
Disproves:Guidance for Q2 subscription revenue falls below $193.5M.
Why it matters: This guidance reflects the company's growth trajectory and market demand. Meeting this range would indicate strong performance.
Confirms:Guidance for Q2 total revenue falls within the range of $214M to $215M.
Disproves:Guidance for Q2 total revenue falls below $214M.
Why it matters: A drop in cash flow may raise worries about money and efficiency.
Confirms:Cash from operations fell a lot from $70.4 million last quarter.
Disproves:Cash from operations goes up or stays the same from $70.4 million.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means stronger financial health and efficiency. It shows the company can make cash.
Confirms:Net cash from operations exceeds $70 million in the next quarter.
Disproves:Net cash from operations stays below $70 million.
Why it matters: Falling below this level may show problems with costs and making money.
Confirms:In Q2, non-GAAP operating income was less than $29.5 million.
Disproves:In Q2, non-GAAP operating income was more than $30.5 million.
Why it matters: Slowing RPO growth may mean lower revenue expectations in the future.
Confirms:RPO growth was below 5% compared to last year.
Disproves:RPO growth remains at or above 10% year-over-year.
Why it matters: A higher operating income margin means better cost control and more profit. This helps long-term growth.
Confirms:Operating income margin was above 6% in the next earnings release.
Disproves:Operating income margin was below 5% in the next earnings release.
Why it matters: The Information Technology sector is easing. A drop in revenue growth could signal broader issues for Sprinklr.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is lower than usual.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is higher than its usual level.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Director Departure: Yvette Kanouff On April 23, 2026, Yvette Kanouff notified the board of directors (the “Board”) of Sprinklr, Inc. (the “Company”) that she will not stand for re-election as a Class II director of the Company at the Company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “2026 Annual Meeting”). Ms. Kanouff will continue to serve as a d…
of this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) made by the Company regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall…
Other Events. On March 8, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company (the “Board”) authorized and approved a plan to repurchase up to $200 million of shares of the Company’s outstanding Class A common stock (the “Stock Repurchase Program”). The Company expects to enter into an accelerated share repurchase transaction for approximately $125 million in the near term under the Stock Repurchase Program, with the remaining authorization to be utilized at the Company’s discretion over the next yea…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 2, 2025, the board of directors (the “Board”) of Sprinklr, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Anthony Coletta to serve as the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, principal financial officer and principal accounting officer, effective as of October 7, 2025 (the “Effective Date”). Mr. Coletta will succeed Rory Read, who has served as the Compan…