Reading CREX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CREX free→Reading CREX? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CREX free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year, and risk is high. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, but compared with sector peers, CREX trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 78% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk, as it trades below peer multiples while recent financials are weak. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.76. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.76 CREX trades at 1× p/s, below its 3× p/s peer median. Our $17 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 78% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 30%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.37x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.24 → $-0.21 (+12.9% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$173.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$631.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,828.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: A drop in sector revenue growth could impact Creative Realities' performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its median, indicating a slowdown.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is still above average. This shows that it is still growing.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CREX yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 15, 2026, Creative Realities, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial condition and results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including the information contained in the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Application Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CREX Creative Realities Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 7 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
PLTR Palantir Technologies | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 82 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SAP SAP SE | — | — | elevated |
APP AppLovin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 60 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Information Technology names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=793).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims for higher top line growth and expanded margins in fiscal 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Despite management's expectation for higher top line growth in 2026, revenue declined from $23.92M in 2025-Q4 to $16.35M in 2026-Q1. This indicates limited progress towards the stated growth target.
“We expect fiscal 2026 to be our best year ever and anticipate higher top line growth.”
“The Company continues its strong growth trajectory and remains on track for its best year ever.”
“We expect the remainder of fiscal 2026 to show stronger sales based on our current book of business.”
Management plans to leverage the acquisition of CDM to drive growth in fiscal 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management expects growth from the acquisition of CDM, but the financials do not yet reflect this impact. Revenue declined from $23.92M in 2025-Q4 to $16.35M in 2026-Q1, indicating that the anticipated growth has not yet materialized.
“We expect stronger sales based on our current book of business and growth from the acquisition of CDM.”
Management aims to expand margins in fiscal 2026 as part of improved financial results.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Despite management's aim to expand margins, gross profit fell from $11.47M in 2025-Q4 to $5.60M in 2026-Q1. This indicates limited progress towards margin expansion.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 14, 2026, Creative Realities, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial condition and results of operations for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including the information contained in the press release furnished as Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Warrant Repurchase Agreement On February 16, 2026, Creative Realities, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a Warrant Repurchase Agreement (the “Warrant Repurchase Agreement”) with Slipstream Communications, LLC (the “Warrant Holder”). Under the Warrant Repurchase Agreement, the Company agreed to repurchase from the Warrant Holder a warrant (the “Warrant”) to purchase shares of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the “Common Stock”),…
Regulation FD Disclosure. On February 18, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing the Warrant Repurchase, which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section and shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act…
of the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on November 12, 2025 under the caption “Securities Offering” for information required by Item 404(a) of Regulation S-K, which disclosure is incorporated by reference into this
“We anticipate higher top line growth and expanded margins as we leverage the entire organization.”
“We expect fiscal 2026 to be our best year ever and anticipate higher top line growth and expanded margins.”