Reading CNTY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CNTY free→Reading CNTY? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CNTY free→NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryResorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is not assessable since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, CNTY trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 49% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern suggests potential issues due to weak financials or fragile earnings quality. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $1.39. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $1.40 CNTY trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $4.26 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 67% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 11%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
No fragility gates fired.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=3804).
Over the trailing year it converted -0.18x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
12 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=486).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.31 → $-0.33 (-8.1% / 30d). 1 raised, 1 cut, 3 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$140.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$623.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $5,396.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: FOMC decisions can change interest rates and consumer spending. These changes may affect the casino sector.
Confirms one read:The FOMC raises interest rates. This shows a strong economy and possible higher consumer spending.
Confirms the other:The FOMC lowers or keeps interest rates the same. This shows worries about the economy.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CNTY yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Changes in Registrant’s Certifying Accountant. On May 21, 2026, the Audit Committee (the “Audit Committee”) of the Board of Directors of Century Casinos, Inc. (the “Company”) approved the dismissal of Grant Thornton LLP (“GT”) as our independent registered public accounting firm effective upon notification. The Company notified GT of the dismissal on May 22, 2026. The audit report of GT on our consolidated financial statements for each of the two fiscal years ended December 31, 2025 and Decem…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Casinos & Gaming.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CNTY Century Casinos Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 29 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
LVS Las Vegas Sands | — | fair | moderate |
DKNG DRAFTKINGS INC | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 16 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
MGM MGM Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 45 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
WYNN Wynn Resorts | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 53 of 100 | fair | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Conduct a strategic review process with the potential sale of Poland operations.
Implement a share repurchase program with a limit of $1.5 million.
Focus on addressing the earnings miss and improving overall financial performance.
Why it matters: This report will show trends in consumer spending. Strong retail sales may mean more demand for leisure.
Confirms one read:Retail sales rise month over month, showing stronger consumer spending.
Confirms the other:Retail sales fall month over month, showing weaker consumer demand.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 8, 2026, Century Casinos, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), issued a press release reporting its financial results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 8, 2026, Century Casinos, Inc. (the “Company,” “we,” “our,” or “us”) notified Andreas Terler, Executive Vice President, Operations – United States, and Nikolaus Strohriegel, Executive Vice President, Operations – Canada and Europe, that the Company is terminating their employment. The notice of terminations will be effective May 15, 2026, an…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 6, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Century Casinos, Inc. (the “Company,” “we,” “our,” or “us”), upon the recommendation of the Governance and Nominating Committee of the Board, voted to increase the size of the Board from five members to six members and to appoint Mitchell Etess as a new director to fill the resulting vacancy,…
Regulation FD Disclosure. The information in this report and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto (i) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and (ii) shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference…