Reading CCSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CCSI free→Reading CCSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track CCSI free→
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral, indicating some uncertainty in the company's profitability. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, but risk is elevated in the current environment. The sector backdrop is a tailwind, and compared with sector peers, CCSI is above typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 74% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $34.66. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $35 CCSI trades at 6× p/e, below its 28× p/e peer median. Our $136 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 75% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -16%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 68% for the rest of the cohort, n=3704).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.60x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 62% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=2831).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $1.44 → $1.48 (+2.5% / 30d). 3 raised, 0 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$237.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$471.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $3,190.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth slows, it may impact Consensus Cloud's growth outlook.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth has been below average for two months in a row.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above its median for the same period.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for CCSI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Systems Software.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 96 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MSFT Microsoft | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 83 of 100 | full | moderate |
PANW Palo Alto Networks | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 42 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
CRWD CrowdStrike | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 31 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
FTNT Fortinet | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 91 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
5 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Information Technology names rated neutral grew net income 64% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=1040).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management has set a revenue growth guidance range for 2026 between $350 million and $364 million.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Revenue guidance for 2026 is set between $350 million and $364 million. Revenue for 2026-Q1 was $88.467 million, showing a consistent trajectory towards the annual target. The company is delivering on its guidance with revenue growth from $87.07 million in 2025-Q4 to $88.467 million in 2026-Q1.
“The following table presents ranges for the Company’s 2026 guidance: Low $350.0, High $364.0.”
“The following table presents ranges for the Company’s 2026 guidance: Low $350.0, High $364.0.”
Management has set an adjusted EPS guidance range for 2026 between $5.55 and $5.95.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 is set between $5.55 and $5.95. Diluted EPS for 2026-Q1 was $1.3, indicating progress towards the annual target. The company is on track with its EPS guidance, showing an increase from previous quarters.
“Adjusted earnings per diluted share $5.55 to $5.95.”
Management aims to maintain growth in operating income, as evidenced by consistent quarterly increases.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Operating income increased to $37.742 million in 2026-Q1 from $35.763 million in 2025-Q4, showing consistent growth. The company is delivering on its priority to maintain operating income growth, with a positive trajectory over the quarters.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As previously announced, the Company promoted and appointed Adam Varon (61), as Chief Financial Officer of the Company beginning April 1, 2026. Mr. Varon receives an annual base salary of $345,000 and will be eligible to receive an annual bonus of up to $150,000 in 2026. In February 2026, Mr. Varon received an equity grant valued at approximately $…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 9, 2026, James Malone, Chief Financial Officer of Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc. (“Company”), notified the Company that effective close of business on April 1, 2026, he will step down from his position as Chief Financial Officer of the Company. Upon stepping down from such position, Mr. Malone will continue with the Company as a strateg…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 9, 2026, Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its preliminary unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and the full year of fiscal 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2025, Consensus Cloud Solutions, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange…
“Adjusted earnings per diluted share $5.55 to $5.95.”
“Operating income increased to $37.742 million.”
“Operating income was $35.763 million.”
“Operating income was $37.93 million.”