AppFolio (APPF)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
$213.25+2.99%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put APPF beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Application Software is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 20% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 45% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskAPPF’s thesis rests on continued revenue growth, though its growth has eased from 20% to 19%. Reported profits are fragile because cash does not back them well. Q3 2026 revenue grew 19% year over year, and non-GAAP EPS beat estimates. APPF trades at 37× P/E versus a 30× peer median. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, leaving modest expectations. The next-quarter miss probability is 20%, and fragile cash backing weakens the earnings case. The 37× multiple must be earned against the peer gap. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. APPF is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 10 analysts currently covering APPF (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for APPF in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare APPF with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APPF Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Application Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put APPF next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
2026 revenue and margin guidance provides concrete growth and profitability targets, though execution remains uncertain.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $213.25
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $213.25.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Increase revenue growth
Downgrade indicates potential slowdown in revenue growth.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Customer renewal suggests strong revenue growth potential.
Advances: Expand AI integration across business
Partnership enhances AI integration, aligning with management's objectives.
Advances: Expand AI integration across business
Enhances AI integration, supporting product development objectives.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Earnings beat indicates strong revenue growth performance.
Advances: Increase revenue growth
Record revenue confirms growth objectives and AI integration success.
Advances: Enhance operating income
Increased operating margin enhances income objectives.