York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-16
$5.58-8.52%
Close 2026-10-16 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-16
Research Workspace
Put YSS beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Revenue reaches at least $545 million in 2026: Revenue: $92.55M.
View ThesisThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 86% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskYSS’s revenue growth thesis is broken because revenue reached $92.55 million against a $545 million 2026 pillar. Revenue grew 10% year over year in Q2 FY2026, which missed GAAP earnings expectations by 63.2%. No clean valuation multiple is available, so the desk cannot establish a peer-multiple comparison. The price is roughly in line with forecast growth, but the revenue pillar has already failed. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 52%. Peer multiples imply a price about 59% above where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-16. YSS is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering YSS (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for YSS in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YSS Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-16. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put YSS next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Expand government contract wins and backlog
Guidance cut raises concerns about future government contract wins.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-16. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $5.58
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $5.58.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Advances: Expand government contract wins and backlog
Winning NITE STAR role expands government contract wins.
Lower price target indicates reduced growth expectations.
Price target cut indicates reduced growth expectations.
Downgrade indicates concerns about financial performance.
Advances: Expand government contract wins and backlog
Improved EBITDA supports government contract wins and backlog growth.
Advances: Acquisition of Solestial, Inc.
Strengthens supply chain aligns with acquisition objective.
Advances: Acquisition of Solestial, Inc.
Strategic acquisition supports capital allocation goals.