NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-08-31
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Create your account →Broken: Primary pillar broken — Revenue reaches at least $545 million in 2026: FY26 revenue guidance $390M vs $545M target.
York Space Systems aims to grow revenue to about $595 million in 2026. The company is expanding capabilities by acquiring Solestial and All.Space. These moves could strengthen its market position. Revenue growth despite losses shows potential for recovery.
The company is currently unprofitable and missed earnings recently. Its share price has dropped 47% from highs. Acquisitions are dilutive and funded by equity sales, hurting shareholders. Revenue growth may not offset ongoing losses soon.
The market prices the stock about 22% below our fair value near $36. The market expects negative growth over 3 to 5 years. Our view is aligned with the Street but cautious given recent earnings misses and losses.
Breaks if: EPS remains negative or declines further in FY27
Breaks if: Revenue falls below $545 million in FY26
Breaks if: Acquisitions fail to close or integration delays beyond FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround scenario. The current thesis state is uncertain due to recent earnings misses and mixed management execution, but there are opportunities for improvement.
The market appears to have low expectations for YSS, as indicated by its recent performance and the absence of fragility in its valuation. However, the recent earnings miss has likely dampened sentiment.
Management is making progress in expanding government contracts and building inventory, but there are mixed results in strategic acquisitions and production capacity. The near-term risk is elevated, with a significant chance of missing earnings again.
The long-term thesis hinges on whether YSS can reverse its recent trend of earnings misses and if sector leaders continue to perform well. A positive shift in guidance or strong performance from peers could provide momentum.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. The stock price has fallen significantly, dropping to $9.48 from $33.42. This decline is characterized as a "disappointing reset" by analyst Dhierin-Perkash Bechai. However, the company has expanded its government contract wins and backlog, which supports future growth. The latest earnings miss and guidance cut raise concerns about future performance.
as of 2026-08-31
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
In the next 1 to 3 years, YSS's performance will depend on its ability to execute on strategic priorities and adapt to sector dynamics. Not investment advice.
