Reading VRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VRM free→Reading VRM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track VRM free→NASDAQFinancialsCredit ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company is unprofitable. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, VRM trades below typical levels. Peer multiples imply a price about 86% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, value-trap risk. This pattern occurs because it trades below peer multiples, but recent financials are weak. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $7.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $8.18 VRM trades at 0× p/s, below its 1× p/s peer median. Our $44 fair value sits above the price; low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 81% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about -10%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=3730).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.17x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Financials names rated volatile grew net income 54% of the time over the next year (vs 57% for the rest of the cohort, n=3774).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$438.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$891.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $7,799.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Operating income affects how much money the company makes. It shows cost control.
Confirms:Operating income improves year over year in Q2.
Disproves:Operating income declines year over year in Q2.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for VRM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. Amendment to Warehouse Credit Facility One On May 29, 2026, Vroom, Inc. (the “Company”) through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, United Auto Credit Corporation (“UACC”) and UACC Auto Financing Trust IV (the “Trust IV”), entered into Amendment No. 28 (“Amendment No. 28”) to that certain Warehouse Agreement, dated as of November 19, 2013 (as amended, “Warehouse Credit Facility One”), by and among the Trust IV, as borrower, UACC, as servicer and custodian, the lenders party thereto,…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Consumer Finance.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
VRM Vroom, Inc. | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 15 of 100 | inexpensive | high |
AXP American Express | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 56 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
COF Capital One | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 32 of 100 | fair | elevated |
SYF Synchrony Financial | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
AFRM Affirm Holdings Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 3 of 100 | expensive | high |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on reducing operating losses to improve overall financial health.
Enhance cash flow from operating activities to support business sustainability.
Amendment to Warehouse Credit Facility to optimize capital structure.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth signals sector weakness. It can impact Vroom's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth falls below its median of 15%.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth stays above its median of 15%.
Why it matters: Improving cash flow shows better financial health. It can support future growth.
Confirms:Cash from operations increases year over year in Q2.
Disproves:Cash from operations declines year over year in Q2.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Vroom, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 26, 2026, Vroom, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Vroom, Inc. (the "Company") disclaims any implication that the agreements related to the transactions described in this report are other than agreements entered into the ordinary course of its business.
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On February 5, 2026 (the "Closing Date"), United Auto Credit Corporation (“ UACC ”), a wholly owned subsidiary of the registrant, Vroom, Inc. (“ Vroom ”), entered into a series of agreements (the “ ABS Transaction ”). The ABS Transaction created, among other things, long-term obligations that are material to UACC. Pursuant to the ABS Transaction: (i) UACC sold to United Auto Cred…