UGI Corp (UGI)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-10-30
$38.67+0.29%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated GasSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put UGI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Utilities is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Sustain strong operational cash flow: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 0% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 11%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskUGI’s relatively high earnings yield supports a value case, but fragile cash backing weakens confidence. Revenue growth slowed from flat year over year to a 4% decline; Q3 FY2026 earnings beat. UGI trades at 1.6× P/B versus a 2.0× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. The specific risk is fragile earnings quality, with reported profits not well backed by cash. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 23%. The cash-flow pillar comparison needs review, so the thesis is on watch. Peer multiples imply a price about 13% above where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. UGI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering UGI (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare UGI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Gas Utilities — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put UGI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Upgrade indicates positive market sentiment and potential for growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Disappointing results threaten profitability and EPS growth.
Takeover interest indicates strong market confidence in UGI's value.
KKR's bid indicates strong interest in UGI's value.
Confirmed bid shows significant strategic interest in UGI.
Earnings call highlights indicate strong EPS growth.
Advances: Maintain profitability and EPS growth
EPS guidance reaffirmation supports profitability and growth.
Utility sale and ESG shift may hinder capital allocation focus.