Textron (TXT)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-29
$85.70-2.01%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TXT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Aerospace & Defense is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — 2026 EPS at least $6.4 per share: Diluted EPS: $1.42 per share.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTXT’s case rests on manufacturing cash-flow improvement, despite slowing revenue growth and fragile earnings quality. Third-quarter revenue grew 4% year over year, and reported non-GAAP EPS beat consensus. TXT trades at 13× P/E versus 29× for peers, below its 14.8× historical multiple. The price reflects less growth than our forecast. The risk is its primary 2026 EPS pillar, set at least $6.4 per share. The desk cites diluted EPS of $1.42 per share against that pillar. Fragile earnings quality also means reported profits lack strong cash backing. Peer multiples imply a price about 18% above where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TXT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 16 analysts currently covering TXT (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Aerospace & Defense — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TXT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Improve manufacturing cash flow
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Higher manufacturing cash-flow outlook and cleared MV-75 funding materially support cash-flow improvement.
Reported earnings beat and outlook increase support the 2026 revenue objective.
New product aligns with growth and innovation objectives.
Advances: Increase 2026 revenue
Increased funding for Textron's aircraft supports revenue growth objective.
Advances: Increase 2026 revenue
Increased orders support revenue growth objective.
Advances: Increase 2026 revenue
Reaffirmed 2026 EPS outlook supports growth expectations despite funding demands and separation uncertainty.
Advances: Increase 2026 revenue
Quarterly results beat estimates, supporting operating performance, though not necessarily forward guidance.
Threatens: Increase 2026 revenue
Guidance and funding risks temper the earnings beat and add pressure to growth execution.