Trane Technologies (TT)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
$431.10-3.87%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Building Products is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMostly healthy — no soft spokes
TT’s growth thesis rests on double-digit revenue growth in 2026, supported by commercial HVAC demand. Revenue growth accelerated from 6% to 11% to 18%, with each quarter beating. TT trades at 29× P/E versus a 19× peer median and 34× its history. Expectations look modest versus our growth view. The risk is that this premium over peers compresses if growth fails to earn it. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 19%. Peer multiples imply a price about 20% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. TT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 29 analysts currently covering TT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TT in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare TT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Building Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Deliver 2026 GAAP continuing EPS guidance
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $431.10
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $431.10.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Strong quarterly results and higher revenue guidance support growth while reaffirmed EPS guidance remains on track.
Advances: Achieve double-digit revenue growth in 2026
Raised 2026 organic growth outlook materially supports double-digit growth while reaffirming EPS.
Advances: Deliver 2026 GAAP continuing EPS guidance
Official earnings-call transcript provides management detail on quarterly performance and guidance.
Advances: Deliver 2026 GAAP continuing EPS guidance
Reported earnings beat supports execution; share-price decline does not negate operating progress.
Advances: Deliver 2026 GAAP continuing EPS guidance
Quarterly earnings and revenue exceeded estimates, supporting delivery against EPS objectives.
Advances: Deliver 2026 GAAP continuing EPS guidance
Reported adjusted EPS and revenue beat estimates, indicating solid quarterly execution.
Advances: Drive growth and backlog expansion in Americas Commercial HVAC
AI integration supports growth in HVAC sector.
Advances: Drive growth and backlog expansion in Americas Commercial HVAC
New designs support growth in Americas Commercial HVAC.
