Carrier Global (CARR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
$53.63-3.44%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put CARR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Building Products is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskCarrier’s commercial HVAC and data center growth must sustain rising sales despite weak recent financial performance. Revenue growth accelerated from 2% to 12% year over year, and Q3 earnings beat estimates. CARR trades at 22× P/E versus a 19× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. Margin pressure from input costs and lower price realization threatens that growth’s profitability. The model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 26%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades (about fair); the thesis has broken. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. CARR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 27 analysts currently covering CARR (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 5 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CARR in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare CARR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Building Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put CARR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain and reaffirm full-year financial outlook
2026 EPS outlook and substantial data-center backlog support growth and reaffirmed financial outlook.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $53.63
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $53.63.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Advances: Maintain and reaffirm full-year financial outlook
Q3 estimate beat supports execution, though the premarket share decline suggests the overall update was mixed.
Threatens: Maintain and reaffirm full-year financial outlook
A $3.1 billion charge and outlook concerns create a material headwind to financial expectations.
Advances: Maintain and reaffirm full-year financial outlook
A quarterly beat and raised outlook support execution and full-year financial objectives.
Advances: Maintain and reaffirm full-year financial outlook
Reported earnings beat and updated FY26 outlook provide evidence on financial execution.
Advances: Accelerate growth in global Commercial HVAC and aftermarket
Factory investment expands capacity in response to demand, supporting commercial HVAC growth.
Acquisition aligns with growth in Commercial HVAC market.
Fraud probe raises concerns about financial outlook and credibility.
