Johnson Controls (JCI)
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-10-29
$149.03-5.84%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put JCI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Building Products is in recovery. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 7% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 50% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskJCI’s thesis rests on steady growth and expansion into AI infrastructure and data-center cooling. Revenue growth has accelerated from 8% to 10% year over year, with three consecutive earnings beats. The latest quarter beat non-GAAP EPS consensus by 5.1%. JCI trades at 31× P/E versus a 19× peer median. Expectations look full because the market prices in more growth than our forecast. The next-quarter miss probability is 21%, and the Mania regime elevates valuation fragility. The 31× multiple has to be earned against the 19× peer median. Peer multiples imply a price about 50% below where it trades; our read remains intact.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. JCI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 23 analysts currently covering JCI (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for JCI in the last 4 months.
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Compare JCI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Building Products — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put JCI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Achieve organic sales growth of ~6% for fiscal 2026
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $149.03
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $149.03.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
FY2027 growth and EPS outlook materially exceed tracked FY2026 objectives; planned capex supports expansion.
Planned 500MW AI infrastructure capacity could support data-center cooling demand and sales growth.
Advances: Achieve organic sales growth of ~6% for fiscal 2026
Official Q3 earnings-call disclosures can validate growth, earnings, and operating leverage progress.
Advances: Achieve organic sales growth of ~6% for fiscal 2026
Reported Q3 results highlight strong revenue, relevant to the fiscal 2026 growth target.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EPS of ~$4.85 for fiscal 2026
Higher annual profit forecast on data-center demand directly supports the EPS objective.
Advances: Achieve organic sales growth of ~6% for fiscal 2026
Better-than-expected Q2 sales support progress toward fiscal 2026 organic growth.
New board member may enhance strategic decision-making.
Advances: Achieve adjusted EPS of ~$4.85 for fiscal 2026
Q4 earnings and revenue beats support growth and earnings delivery.
