Swarmer, Inc. (SWMR)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-21
$9.80+8.53%
Close 2026-10-21 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-10-21
Research Workspace
Put SWMR beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Improve operating income and reduce net losses: Operating income: $-7.28M.
View ThesisThis stock is volatile — it swings about 5% on a typical day and fell roughly 89% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSwarmer’s strategic agreements must expand its mobile air-defense market presence to support its sales-based premium. No earnings history is available, so revenue growth and the latest result cannot be confirmed. SWMR trades at 304× sales versus a 4× peer median. The price is roughly in line with forecast growth, despite that wide valuation gap. The operating-income pillar is broken, with operating income at $-7.28M. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 55%. Peer multiples imply a price about 398% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-21. SWMR is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 1 analyst currently covering SWMR (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare SWMR with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-21. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SWMR next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Expand market presence via strategic agreements and licensing
MOU expands market presence through strategic agreement.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-21. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Founding partnership enhances strategic positioning in defense sector.
Formation of Vectus Air Defense Systems strengthens market presence.
Expansion builds momentum for commercial product offerings.
Downbeat results raise concerns about future performance.
Gross margin target indicates strong financial health.
Strategic partnership enhances capabilities for U.S. forces.
Partnership on AI data collection boosts technological edge.
