Simon Property Group (SPG)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
$217.75+0.94%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put SPG beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Retail REITs is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 15% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 19% growth a year, above the roughly 0% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskSPG’s raised Real Estate FFO outlook supports the case for steady revenue growth. Revenue grew 19% year over year in Q2 FY2026, after 19.3% in Q1 FY2026. The latest recorded result is a Q1 beat, while no Q2 verdict appears. SPG trades at 10× P/FFO versus an 11× peer median. The market prices in more growth than our forecast. Fragile cash backing and the peer premium leave room for valuation pressure. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 26%. Peer multiples imply a price about 19% below where it trades; our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. SPG is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 22 analysts currently covering SPG (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SPG in the last 4 months.
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Compare SPG with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPG Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Retail REITs — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SPG next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Acquisition expands Simon’s portfolio, but deal economics and strategic significance are unspecified.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $217.75
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $217.75.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase Real Estate FFO guidance
Raised outlook supports growth in Real Estate FFO guidance.
Advances: Maintain strong cash from operations and liquidity
Senior notes offering enhances liquidity and cash flow.
Advances: Increase full-year 2026 Real Estate FFO per share guidance
Increased rental income supports FFO growth objectives.
Advances: Increase full-year 2026 Real Estate FFO per share guidance
Higher rents support FFO growth and cash flow objectives.
Advances: Increase full-year 2026 Real Estate FFO per share guidance
Strong leasing momentum supports FFO growth objectives.
Advances: Increase Real Estate FFO guidance
Positive earnings call highlights reinforce FFO guidance.
Downgrade may impact FFO growth expectations.