Reading SPAI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SPAI free→Reading SPAI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SPAI free→NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed as the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent disruptive corporate changes. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with SPAI compared to sector peers being below typical. If SPAI cuts guidance on the next call, that would be a meaningful negative, as the Street tends to walk down estimates and the stock usually takes a leg lower. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $4.88. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Not enough valuation methods to set a 12-month read yet.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.49x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity.
10 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Industrials names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=840).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $-0.11 → $-0.14 (-27.3% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 2 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$427.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$982.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,391.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: If industrial sector revenue growth picks up, it may benefit Safe Pro's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is moving back toward highs above 5%.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth keeps slowing down. It is now below 5%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SPAI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (e) Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Executive Officer Stock Option Awards . On May 27, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) and the Compensation Committee (the “Compensation Committee”) of Safe Pro Group Inc. (the “Company”) approved grants, under the Company’s 2025 Safe Pro Group Equity Incentive Plan (the “2025 Plan”) and the…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SPAI Safe Pro Group Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 7 of 100 | — | high |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 22 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Focus on achieving record quarterly revenue of $1,220,129, representing significant growth.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The company achieved record quarterly revenue of $1,220,129, a 560% increase over $184,802 in 2025-Q1. This significant growth indicates strong progress in revenue generation.
“Record quarterly revenue of $1,220,129 represents a 560% increase over $184,802 reported in the first quarter of 2025.”
Execute the authorized stock buyback program to purchase up to $3.0 million of shares.
Newly stated in 2025-Q4. The company announced a stock buyback program to purchase up to $3.0 million of shares. However, there is no evidence of buyback activity in the financials, indicating limited progress in executing the program.
“The Board authorized a stock buyback program to purchase up to $3.0 million of shares.”
The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 1, 2026, Safe Pro Group Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Jarret Mathews to serve as the Company’s Chief Operating Officer. In connection with Mr. Mathews’ appointment, on April 1, 2026, the Company and Mr. Mathews entered into an Executive Employment Agreement (the “Employment Agreement”). Pursuant to the Employment Agreement, Mr. Mathews wi…
Other Events. On December 17, 2025, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Safe Pro Group Inc. (the “Company”) authorized a stock buyback program (the “Stock Buyback Program”) pursuant to which the Company may, from time to time, purchase up to $3.0 million of the shares of Company common stock outstanding. The shares may be repurchased in the open market, by block purchase, through accelerated share repurchase plans, in privately negotiated transactions or otherwise, in one or more transact…
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 11, 2025, Safe Pro Group Inc. (the “Company”) modified the compensation terms under the Employment Agreement dated November 1, 2023 with Daniyel Erdberg, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Erdberg had achieved certain market capitalization milestones as set forth in Section 1(c) of Schedule A to the Employment Agreement, specifi…