Reading SLAB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SLAB free→Reading SLAB? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SLAB free→NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak. Earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a tailwind. Compared with sector peers, SLAB is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 104% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 6 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $220.34. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $220 SLAB trades at 10× p/s, below its 12× p/s peer median. Our $108 fair value sits above the price; medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 104% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Information Technology names rated weak grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=2777).
Over the trailing year it converted -1.04x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.69 → $0.69 (-0.3% / 30d). 3 raised, 1 cut, 8 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 0% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$25.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$283.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,437.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Better margins mean lower costs. This is important for making money.
Confirms:Gross profit margin rose more than 2% compared to last year.
Disproves:Gross profit margin rose less than 2% compared to last year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SLAB yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Other Events. As previously announced, on February 4, 2026, Silicon Laboratories Inc., a Delaware corporation (“ Silicon Labs ”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (as it may be amended, supplemented or modified from time to time, the “ Merger Agreement ”) with Texas Instruments Incorporated, a Delaware corporation (“ Texas Instruments ”), and Caldwell Merger Corp., a Delaware corporation and wholly owned direct subsidiary of Texas Instruments (“ Merger Sub ”), pursuant to which Me…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Semiconductors.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SLAB Silicon Labs | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 34 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. | — | — | moderate |
AVGO Broadcom | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
MU Micron Technology | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
2 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by legal/regulatory items. Historically, Information Technology names rated stable grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=797).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
via XLK
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management aims to drive revenue growth as a key strategic priority.
Management is committed to enhancing gross profit margins.
Management aims to improve operating income through cost management.
Why it matters: The merger could impact future growth. A negative outcome would be harmful.
Confirms:A good outcome or settlement in the merger court case.
Disproves:A bad ruling or setback in the merger court case.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows demand for Silicon Labs' products.
Confirms:Q2 revenue was over $257 million, showing over 20% growth from last year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue was below $257 million, showing weaker demand.
Why it matters: Lawsuits could delay or make the Texas Instruments merger harder.
Confirms:Litigation ends well, allowing the merger to move forward.
Disproves:New legal issues come up that could delay the merger.
Why it matters: More design wins show strong product acceptance and future revenue.
Confirms:Record design wins in Q2 were better than the last quarter.
Disproves:Design wins fell compared to Q1, showing possible market issues.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 5, 2026, Silicon Laboratories Inc. (“Silicon Laboratories”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its fiscal quarter ended April 4, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99 to this report.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Agreement and Plan of Merger On February 4, 2026, Silicon Laboratories Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “ Company ”), entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger (the “ Merger Agreement ”) with Texas Instruments Incorporated, a Delaware corporation (“ Parent ”), and Caldwell Merger Corp., a Delaware and wholly-owned direct subsidiary of Parent (“ Merger Subsidiary ”), pursuant to which Merger Subsidiary will merge with and into the Company (the “…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 4, 2026, Silicon Laboratories Inc. (“Silicon Laboratories”) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its fiscal year and quarter ended January 3, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99 to this report.