Reading SIDU? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SIDU free→Reading SIDU? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SIDU free→NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and earnings quality cannot be assessed since the company was unprofitable over the past year. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and the capital stance is capital-friendly. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with performance below typical compared to sector peers. The read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $3.44. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $3.44, SIDU's earnings are too small for P/E to mean much; on sales it trades at 31× p/s (9.0× the 3× p/s peer median). At a normal multiple the price implies ~801% near-term growth vs our ~-19% forecast. That gap is an optionality premium a financial-multiple model can't price — our $0.38 fair value covers only the as-is business, low confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 801% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about -19%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated weak grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 62% for the rest of the cohort, n=3678).
Over the trailing year it converted 0.73x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by M&A activity. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=1113).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$761.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,406.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,905.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Valuation label changed from 'expensive' to 'None'.
The valuation dimension changed. It rose from "expensive" to "None." Risk remained high. The sector backdrop was a headwind.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: The industrials sector is slowing down. If it re-accelerates, it may benefit Sidus Space's growth.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth is speeding up again. It is getting closer to its highs.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth is slowing down. It keeps getting weaker.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SIDU yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On May 27, 2026, Sidus Space, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a placement agency agreement (the “Placement Agency Agreement”) with ThinkEquity LLC (“the “Placement Agent”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell directly to investors, in a best efforts offering (the “Offering”) an aggregate of (i) 16,485,038 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s Class A common stock, par value $0.0001 (the “Common Stock”), at an offering price of $…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Aerospace & Defense.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SIDU Sidus Space Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 3 of 100 | — | high |
GE GE Aerospace | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 66 of 100 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 72 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BA Boeing | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 22 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
LMT Lockheed Martin | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 62 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Aim to improve gross profit margins through operational efficiencies.
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Gross profit was -$1,050,073 in 2026-Q1, showing persistent negative margins. Despite management's focus on improving margins, there has been limited progress in achieving positive gross profit.
“Gross profit was negative, indicating a need for margin improvement.”
“Gross profit was negative, indicating a need for margin improvement.”
“Gross profit was negative, indicating a need for margin improvement.”
“Gross profit was negative, indicating a need for margin improvement.”
Focus on enhancing cash flow from operations to support business activities.
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Cash from operating activities was -$5,645,038 in 2026-Q1, reflecting ongoing cash flow challenges. Management's focus on enhancing cash flow has yet to yield significant improvements, with persistent negative cash flow.
“Cash from operating activities was negative, indicating cash flow challenges.”
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 14, 2026, Sidus Space, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, and provided a business update. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On April 19, 2026, Sidus Space, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a placement agency agreement (the “Placement Agency Agreement”) with ThinkEquity LLC (“the “Placement Agent”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell directly to investors, in a best efforts offering (the “Offering”) an aggregate of (i) 11,228,700 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s Class A common stock, par value $0.0001 (the “Common Stock”), at an offering price of…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 1, 2026, Sidus Space, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2025, and provided a business update. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. The information disclosed under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securitie…
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On February 26, 2026, Sidus Space, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into an ATM sales agreement (the “Sales Agreement”) with ThinkEquity LLC (the “Sales Agent”), pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time (the “Offering”) through the Sales Agent, shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s Class A common stock, par value $0.0001 per share (the “Common Stock”), up to a maximum amount as set forth in the Sales Agreement, subject to the…
“Cash from operating activities was negative, indicating cash flow challenges.”
“Cash from operating activities was negative, indicating cash flow challenges.”
“Cash from operating activities was negative, indicating cash flow challenges.”