Reading SEI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEI free→Reading SEI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track SEI free→NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-06-16
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
Recent financial performance is strong. Earnings quality is robust. Management's recent track record has been unsteady, with frequent changes. Risk is elevated, and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Compared with sector peers, SEI is typical. Peer multiples imply a price about 228% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is expensive, growth-justified. Rich on today's multiple, but the three-year horizon reads cheaper once expected earnings growth is included. This analysis is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $76.17. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
We can't anchor a clean multiple for SEI right now, so treat our $24 fair value as low-confidence. Analysts: $72–$104. Not investment advice.
$72.00 – $104.00 (median $86.00) · 8 analysts · as of 2026-06-12
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 227% near-term growth, well above our forecast of about 52%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Flags: expensive valuation, a turbulent sector regime (Heating).
For similar setups historically (n=2,301): about 43% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 77% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Energy names rated strong grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 56% for the rest of the cohort, n=979).
Over the trailing year it converted 5.67x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Energy names rated robust grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 35% for the rest of the cohort, n=602).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity, real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.34 → $0.32 (-5.1% / 30d). 2 raised, 0 cut, 5 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 1 maintained. 92% of analysts rate Buy.
2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 27.6% above current price.
Transition story with positive analyst positioning (often a turnaround setup).
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$264.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$616.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,642.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-16
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Earnings results show how well Solaris Energy is doing. They also show future growth.
Confirms one read:Earnings per share (EPS) is higher than what analysts expected.
Confirms the other:Earnings per share (EPS) falls below analysts' expectations.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for SEI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Indenture On May 12, 2026, Solaris Energy Infrastructure, LLC (the “Issuer”), a subsidiary of Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. (the “Company”), issued $1.3 billion aggregate principal amount of a new series of the Issuer’s 6.375% Senior Notes due 2031 (the “Notes”) in a private placement (the “Offering”) conducted pursuant to Rule 144A and Regulation S under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). The Notes were issued at p…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 52 of 100 | expensive | elevated |
SLB Schlumberger | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | fair | moderate |
BKR Baker Hughes | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 74 of 100 | full | moderate |
HAL Halliburton | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 79 of 100 | fair | moderate |
FTI TechnipFMC | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 80 of 100 | full | moderate |
22 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Energy names rated volatile grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=252).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
via XLE
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-16.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management has increased the second quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $83-93 million.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Management increased the second quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $83-93 million from a previous range of $76-84 million. This adjustment reflects a positive outlook for the company's financial performance in the upcoming quarter.
“Increasing second quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $83-93 million from previous guidance of $76-84 million.”
The company announced a share buyback program as part of its capital allocation strategy.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. SEI announced a share buyback program on May 12, 2026, as part of its capital allocation strategy. This initiative indicates a focus on returning value to shareholders, although specific buyback amounts or timelines were not disclosed.
“SEI announced a share buyback program on May 12, 2026.”
SEI issued $1.3 billion in Senior Notes due 2031 to support its capital allocation strategy.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. SEI issued $1.3 billion in Senior Notes due 2031 on May 5, 2026, as part of its capital allocation strategy. This debt issuance is intended to support the company's financial flexibility and strategic initiatives.
Why it matters: If revenue growth improves, it signals a positive shift in the energy sector. This could boost investor confidence.
Confirms:Three-year revenue growth increases above 2%.
Disproves:Three-year revenue growth remains at or below 2%.
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 5, 2026, Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. (the “Company”), Solaris Energy Infrastructure, LLC, a subsidiary of the Company (the “Issuer”), and the subsidiary guarantors named therein (the “Subsidiary Guarantors”) entered into a purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC, as representative of the several initial purchasers named therein (collectively, the “Initial Purchasers”), under which they agreed to sell…
Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets. Upon further evaluation, the Company has determined that the Transaction does not involve the acquisition of a “significant amount of assets” for purposes of
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Termination of Term Loan Agreement On May 12, 2026, substantially concurrently with the closing of the Offering and the Credit Agreement, the Issuer terminated that certain Senior Secured Term Loan Agreement, dated as of March 16, 2026 (as amended by that certain Amendment No. 1 to Senior Secured Term Loan Agreement, dated as of April 8, 2026, and as otherwise amended, supplemented, or modified, the “Term Loan Agreement”), by and among the Issue…
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth under
“SEI issued $1.3 billion in Senior Notes due 2031 on May 5, 2026.”