Boston Beer Company (SAM)
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-10-29
$201.31+1.43%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesBeverages - AlcoholicSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put SAM beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Operating income improves from -$190.5M in Q1 2026: Comparison needs review.
View ThesisRevenue is contracting — down about 4% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks among the strongest in its industry on quality — around the top 16%.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskSAM depends on guidance stabilizing demand despite falling revenue and unsteady management. Revenue declines narrowed from 4.4% to 3.2% year over year, while third-quarter EPS beat. SAM trades at 26× P/E versus a 16× peer median. Expectations look modest versus our view. Lowered volume guidance threatens the thesis; our model puts next-quarter miss probability at 30%. Its 2026 volume outlook is down mid-single digits. The primary operating-income comparison needs review, so the pressure is unverified. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% below where it trades; the thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. SAM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 14 analysts currently covering SAM (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 8 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SAM in the last 4 months.
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Compare SAM with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put SAM next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Lowered volume outlook signals demand weakness despite the projected EPS range.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $201.31
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $201.31.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Q2 miss raises concerns about future performance.
Market share losses could hinder revenue growth.
Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Weaker Q2 results impact operating income improvement objective.
Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Headwinds affect operating income improvement efforts.
Threatens: Focus on improving operating income
Lower profit and sales decline hinder operating income improvement.
Advances: Focus on improving operating income
Improved industry data supports operating income goals.
Litigation expenses threaten financial outlook and cash flow.