Walmart (WMT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-30
$123.51+1.86%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put WMT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating margin near 7-10% in Q3 FY2026: Operating margin: 4.99%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 6% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 65% growth a year, above the roughly 5% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskWalmart’s eCommerce growth and operating-income expansion are central to its premium valuation. Revenue growth slowed to 5.9% in Q2 FY2027, despite an earnings beat. Shares trade at 44× P/E versus a 16× peer median. The market prices in more growth than our forecast. The reported Q3 FY2026 operating margin of 4.99% broke a primary thesis pillar. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 15%. Peer multiples imply a price about 62% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the thesis has broken, and this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. WMT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 45 analysts currently covering WMT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 16 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for WMT in the last 4 months.
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Compare WMT with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put WMT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Reported investment and battery discounts modestly support energy offerings, without changing core thesis.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $123.51
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $123.51.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Drive global eCommerce sales growth
Large automation deal could improve Walmart fulfillment efficiency and support eCommerce growth.
Reported kickback allegations could create legal and regulatory risks for Flipkart, Walmart’s subsidiary.
Threatens: Maintain disciplined capital expenditures at ~4% of net sales
A $6 billion Symbotic commitment materially raises investment spending and may pressure capital discipline.
FTC scrutiny of data-driven pricing could constrain Walmart’s pricing practices and create compliance risk.
Threatens: Grow operating income and adjusted operating income
Reported Mexico margin pressure challenges operating-income growth, though scope and persistence are unclear.
A lawsuit alleging shrimp misrepresentation creates reputational and potential legal exposure.
Advances: Drive global eCommerce sales growth
Bundling Walmart+ with Sam's Club Plus may broaden subscription reach and digital engagement.
