Target Corporation (TGT)
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-29
$154.24+1.59%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put TGT beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — EPS of $8.0 to $8.5 per share in 2026: Diluted EPS: $4.11 per share.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTarget’s merchandising and guest experience growth case depends on sustainable, profitable sales growth. Revenue growth eased from 6.7% to 5.3%, despite consecutive earnings beats. Target trades at 18× P/E versus a 16× peer median; expectations look modest versus our view. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 16%. The 2026 EPS pillar is under pressure: reported diluted EPS was $4.11 per share. Peer multiples imply a price about 8% below where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. TGT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 38 analysts currently covering TGT (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 21 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TGT in the last 4 months.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put TGT next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Reinventing a major home brand supports merchandising and experience, though no results are specified.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $154.24
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $154.24.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Safety recall may impair customer trust and create incremental costs, though scope and financial impact are unclear.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Analysis supports profitable growth prospects through merchandising freshness and experience.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Cat & Jack's $3 billion scale supports durable merchandising appeal and the family-focused strategy.
Threatens: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Backlash could impact customer experience.
Advances: Achieve full-year 2026 net sales growth around 5%
Reported sales recovery after extensive price cuts supports growth, though profitability execution remains key.
Advances: Drive sustainable, profitable growth through merchandising and experience
Increased customer engagement supports merchandising and experience growth.
Increased competition from Kmart and Amazon affects growth objectives.
