NYSEConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Annual revenue growth of at least 4%: revenue growth +6.7% vs 4%.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 14% growth a year, above the roughly 2% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskTarget's growth depends on maintaining its EPS guidance of $7.50 to $8.50 for 2026. Recent financial performance has been strong, with a 17% earnings surprise last quarter. It trades at 18× P/E, slightly above the 17× peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than expected, making it look expensive. A specific risk is the 16% chance of missing earnings expectations next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 15% below where it trades; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. TGT is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 38 analysts currently covering TGT (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TGT in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Target's breakup with Ulta may impact sales growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $144.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $144.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Digital pivot may affect sales and EPS guidance.
Increased competition may affect sales objectives.
Lawsuit could impact financial performance and guidance.
Advances: Maintain EPS guidance of $7.50 to $8.50 for 2026
Avante's revenue forecast supports EPS guidance for 2026.
Shifts in shopper behavior may impact Target's sales.
Advances: Maintain EPS guidance of $7.50 to $8.50 for 2026
Investment supports growth needed for EPS guidance.
Advances: Maintain EPS guidance of $7.50 to $8.50 for 2026
Investment supports growth needed for EPS guidance.
