NYSEConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-07-31
Reading PM? Create a free portfolio, then add this holding for ongoing Reports and tracking. Track it in a free portfolio. No credit card.
Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Smoke-free product shipment volume growth: YoY shipment volume growth 10.4% vs 12.8%.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 9% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskPhilip Morris must continue to grow its smoke-free products to justify its price. Recent earnings show strong performance, with a 10.4% revenue increase in Q2 2026. It trades at 24× P/E, above the peer median of 17×. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. A specific risk is the 15% chance of a miss in the next quarter. Peer multiples imply a price about 5% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. PM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 17 analysts currently covering PM (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 6 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for PM in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Tobacco — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
New factory supports growth in smoke-free product investment.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $190.82
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $190.82.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Increase adjusted diluted EPS by 9% to 11% excluding currency
Cutting profit forecast impacts EPS growth objective.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
Doubling investment supports growth in smoke-free product segment.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
Increased investment in Zyn enhances smoke-free product growth strategy.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
Increased investment supports growth in smoke-free products.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
FDA approval enhances Zyn's market position and growth potential.
Advances: Achieve organic net revenue growth of 5% to 7% annually
Strong revenue growth supports organic net revenue growth objective.
Advances: Invest in and grow smoke-free products
Smoke-free products driving double-digit growth supports growth objectives.
