Reading RYM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RYM free→Reading RYM? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track RYM free→NASDAQConsumer StaplesTobaccoSnapshot 2026-06-15
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is weak, and the company was unprofitable over the past year, so its earnings quality can't be assessed. Management's recent track record has been fairly steady, and it has a capital-friendly stance. Risk is high, and the sector backdrop is a headwind, with RYM trading below typical for its sector. Peer multiples imply a price about 481% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is rich, as it trades above peer multiples, and the longer horizon does not make that back through growth. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 1 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $28.00. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $28 RYM trades at 2× p/s — 2.1× the 1× p/s peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $13 fair value is low-confidence here. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 108% near-term growth, in line with our forecast of about 100%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 58% for the rest of the cohort, n=1144).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.35x of net income into operating cash flow.
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the broad stock market, the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
8 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Staples names rated neutral grew net income 50% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=491).
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$334.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$1,053.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $6,906.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-15
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Faster sector growth could lift RYTHM's performance and outlook.
Confirms:Consumer Staples sector revenue growth exceeds 4% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains below 4%.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for RYM yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5. 2026, RYTHM, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is not deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section. This information will not be deemed to be incorporated b…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Consumer Staples (broad).
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RYM RYTHM Inc | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 3 of 100 | expensive | high |
WMT Walmart | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 36 of 100 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 53 of 100 | expensive | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 65 of 100 | expensive | low |
PG Procter & Gamble | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 68 of 100 | full | low |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-15.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
The company aims for $22 million in revenue for the second quarter of 2026, representing 65% sequential growth.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. Revenue in 2026-Q1 was $13.29M, with guidance for 2026-Q2 set at $22M, indicating a targeted 65% sequential growth. The trajectory shows a strong growth focus, but delivery remains to be seen.
“The Company expects second quarter 2026 revenues of approximately $22 million, representing 65% sequential growth.”
RYTHM aims to secure a $70 million annual cash fee from Green Thumb starting April 2026.
Newly stated in 2026-Q1. The agreement with Green Thumb is expected to bring in a $70M annual cash fee starting April 2026. This represents a significant revenue stream, but its impact on financials will be clearer in future quarters.
“Effective April 1, 2026, Green Thumb will pay RYTHM an aggregate fixed annual cash fee of $70 million.”
RYTHM plans to expand sales of hemp-derived THC products as part of its growth strategy.
Newly stated in 2025-Q3. The company aims to expand sales of hemp-derived THC products to drive topline growth. Financial impact is yet to be reflected in the revenue figures, indicating limited progress so far.
“The Company expects that this transaction will strategically position it for rapid topline growth through licensing revenue and expanding sales of hemp-derived THC products.”
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement Amendment to August 2025 License Agreement As previously reported, on August 27, 2025, VCP IP Holdings, LLC (“VCP”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of RYTHM, Inc. (the “Company”), entered into a Trademark and Recipe License Agreement (the “August 2025 License Agreement”) with GTI Core, LLC (“GTI Core”), an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of Green Thumb Industries Inc. (“Green Thumb”). Green Thumb is an indirect owner of approximately 33% of the outstandi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 3, 2026, RYTHM, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is not deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section. This information will not be deemed to be…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 7, 2025, RYTHM, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is not deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section. This information will not be deemed to be incor…
The Company has determined that the acquisition of VCP and its intellectual property assets pursuant to the Purchase Agreement does not constitute the purchase of a “business” within the meaning of Rule 11-01(d) of Regulation S-X and therefore, no financial statements, including pro forma financial information, are required to be filed in connection with the acquisition.