NASDAQConsumer StaplesDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-07-31
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Create your account →Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Staples is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Maintain strong cash flow from operations: $3.45B vs $3.5B (Q3 FY2026).
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 88% growth a year, above the roughly 11% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationRelatively steady — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskCostco's growth depends on maintaining strong cash flow and expanding its member base. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year, but the latest earnings report missed expectations. It trades at 47× P/E, above the 17× peer median, indicating high expectations. If Costco cuts guidance, it could negatively impact the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 89% below where it trades.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-31. COST is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 39 analysts currently covering COST (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for COST in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-08-01. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Consumer Staples (broad) — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Advances: Achieve consistent revenue growth
New store supports consistent revenue growth objective.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-31. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $951.89
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $951.89.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Development delays could impact revenue growth objectives.
Store closures may impact revenue growth objectives.
Increased competition may impact Costco's revenue growth.
Settlement may impact cash flow and legal costs.
Loss of popular items may hinder revenue growth.
Advances: Achieve consistent revenue growth
New gas stations enhance revenue growth potential.
Advances: Achieve consistent revenue growth
Standalone gas station contributes to consistent revenue growth.
