Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-10-29
$12.06-2.74%
Close 2026-10-29 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-10-29
Research Workspace
Put RGTI beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 68% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 20%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 74% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRGTI depends on superconducting quantum research gaining government support and commercial sales. Its latest quarter showed flat year-over-year revenue and an inline loss. The only earnings-history quarter shows no revenue growth; acceleration is unproven. No valuation multiple or peer comparison is available in the desk. So the desk cannot establish how much commercial success the price reflects. Weak performance, fragile cash backing, and unsteady management threaten the case. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability at 48%. The sector is in Mania, and the read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-29. RGTI is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering RGTI (as of Oct 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare RGTI with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-29. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put RGTI next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Advance superconducting quantum computing R&D with U.S. government support
CHIPS funding supports R&D in superconducting quantum computing.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-29. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Threatens: Increase revenue through Novera system sales and on-premises deployments
Revenue volatility and rising costs could hinder growth.
Threatens: Advance superconducting quantum computing R&D with U.S. government support
CEO selling shares raises concerns about confidence.
Advances: Advance superconducting quantum computing R&D with U.S. government support
Government funding supports R&D in superconducting quantum computing.
Advances: Advance superconducting quantum computing R&D with U.S. government support
Secured $100M government contract boosts R&D efforts.
Advances: Increase revenue through Novera system sales and on-premises deployments
Government contract enhances revenue potential.
Advances: Manage operating losses while maintaining strong cash position
Strong cash position supports long-term growth objectives.
Leadership changes may disrupt R&D and strategic objectives.
