IonQ, Inc. (IONQ)
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-14
$37.50+2.04%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put IONQ beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — Operating income improves from -$271.51M in 2026-Q1: Operating loss not reported.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 371% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 15%, softest on free-cash-flow margins.
View QualityManagement screens weak on capital allocation, earnings delivery, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 68% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskIONQ's growth in quantum computing technology has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 287% year over year, with Q2 2026 revenue of $80.1 million exceeding expectations. It trades at 55× price-to-sales versus a peer median of 5×, indicating that the price reflects less growth than we forecast. The primary risk is the credibility hit if IONQ cuts guidance after recently raising it. Peer multiples imply a price about 27% above where it trades. Our read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. IONQ is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 13 analysts currently covering IONQ (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 4 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for IONQ in the last 4 months.
Continue this research
Compare IONQ with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Free account required to save the handoff. No credit card.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONQ Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put IONQ next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Achieve key quantum computing technology milestones
Delays in technology milestones could hinder growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $37.50
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $37.50.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
Setting a multiyear revenue number supports growth objectives.
Advances: Expand commercial momentum and customer base globally
NASA award boosts commercial momentum and customer base.
Advances: Expand commercial momentum and customer base globally
Expansion of quantum access supports global commercial momentum.
Advances: Expand commercial momentum and customer base globally
Expands commercial momentum and customer base globally.
Advances: Complete acquisition of SkyWater Technology
Acquisition aligns with capital allocation strategy and growth objectives.
Threatens: Achieve strong organic revenue growth of 100% year-on-year in 2026
Sales growth is strong, but losses raise concerns.
Achieve key quantum computing technology milestones
Share dilution raises concerns about technology milestones.
