Sandisk (SNDK)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-10-30
$1150.89-13.47%
Close 2026-10-30 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyComputer HardwareSnapshot 2026-10-30
Research Workspace
Put SNDK beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals is in supercycle. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Total revenue near $8 billion next quarter: Revenue: $11.03B.
View ThesisManagement screens strong on capital allocation, market reaction to earnings.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 4% on a typical day and fell roughly 56% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskSNDK depends on AI storage demand and higher-value markets sustaining its growth. Revenue growth accelerated from 251% to 372%, then 378% year over year. Its latest quarter beat estimates, and management guided second-quarter revenue above consensus. SNDK trades at 17 times earnings versus peers at 32 times. The price reflects less growth than our forecast, despite the peer gap. The next-quarter miss probability is 34%; the primary revenue pillar is under pressure. The $11.03 billion revenue result contrasts with the thesis’s near-$8 billion next-quarter reference. Peer multiples imply a price about 30% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch; this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-10-30. SNDK is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 25 analysts currently covering SNDK (as of Oct 2026).
Based on 9 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for SNDK in the last 4 months.
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Compare SNDK with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNDK Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-10-30. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put SNDK next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Align supply with sustained demand and pursue disciplined growth
Record earnings amid a deep shortage support demand strength, while tightening supply makes disciplined alignment more important.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-10-30. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $1150.89
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $1150.89.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Align supply with sustained demand and pursue disciplined growth
Kioxia's warning on NAND price surge flags supply-demand and cost uncertainty.
Threatens: Align supply with sustained demand and pursue disciplined growth
Kioxia’s warning of an ending NAND price surge signals demand or pricing normalization and supply-discipline risk.
Advances: Generate growing and durable free cash flow
Results beat expectations and higher guidance support durable cash generation; the stock split is mostly cosmetic.
Strong Q2 revenue guidance is a meaningful operating catalyst; the stock split is largely cosmetic.
Advances: Generate growing and durable free cash flow
Official earnings-call disclosures can confirm performance and outlook, supporting durable cash generation.
Advances: Deliver strong financial performance and cash flow
An earnings beat confirms strong performance, though the share-price decline tempers the positive signal.
Advances: Deliver strong financial performance and cash flow
Profit growth driven by AI demand and higher prices supports financial performance and cash-flow objectives.