Rafael Holdings Inc (RFL)
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
$2.18-4.39%
Close 2026-09-14 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-14
Research Workspace
Put RFL beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Real Estate is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar broken — move towards positive EPS: EPS -0.08 vs 0.0 target.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 34% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens weak on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementThis stock is highly volatile — it swings about 3% on a typical day and fell roughly 52% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskRFL's growth depends on a move towards positive earnings per share (EPS). The latest EPS was -0.08, which is below the target of 0.0. RFL trades at a valuation below typical for its sector. This suggests that the market may not fully reflect the potential for recovery. A specific risk is the chance of another earnings miss, with the next-quarter miss probability being high. Peer multiples imply a price about 3% below where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-14. RFL is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Continue this research
Compare RFL with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RFL Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-14. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Real Estate Services — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put RFL next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Potential partnership with India could enhance growth prospects.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-14. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.